'Put simply, the US and China are engaged in a new Cold War. The best that can be hoped for is that which defined the last Cold War: the maintenance of relative peace and occasional cooperation even amid politically defining disagreements.' -TomRtweets
High-level communication between the U.S. and China is key. Absent that communication, mistrust and miscalculation might see this increasingly hostile relationship inadvertently slip into war. But beyond limited improvements to communication, the prospect of a U.S.-China detente is nearly nonexistent.
The U.S. likely hopes that by reinforcing its disinterest in a military showdown over Taiwan, China might refocus on its economic interest in boosting cooperation with the U.S. China's economy, after all, is facing increasingly significant structural problems. Yet the central obstruction to any U.S.-China detente is that Beijing views the U.S. as wholly responsible for Sino-American tensions.
At one level, these grand demands reflect Beijing's emotive inability to understand the seismic shift in U.S. policy toward China that began under former President Donald Trump and has generally sustained under President Joe Biden. Beijing dreams of the days when former President Barack Obama essentially focused on China as a trading partner without much regard for Beijing's broader international security agenda.
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